Conf = Patriot ------ State =
Mascot = ------ Coach = etersGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.2653656 home-field advantage = -0.74 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 92.7) 3-14 214 H Temple AAC (12- 5, 90.1) 9-13 218 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 84.7) 10-15 222 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 75.0) 16- 5 227 H George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 81.7) 12-16 307 H UMBC America East ( 7- 8, 85.2) 5-15 311 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 92.1) 5-17 314 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 86.3) 10-11 320 A Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 84.8) 19-15 325 H Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 7, 92.2) 5-16 328 A Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 88.2) 3-16 404 A Army Patriot (14- 4, 93.6) 5-20 411 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 87.8) 14- 7 415 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 87.5) 11-12 418 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 84.3) 12-10 422 A Navy Patriot (18- 1, 95.1) 5-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Georgetown 3-14 -11 -7 0.00 214 H Temple 9-13 -4 -5 1.08 218 A George Washington 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.84 222 A Howard (DC) 16- 5 11 8 0.00 227 H George Mason 12-16 -4 3 --- -7.36 307 H UMBC 5-15 -10 0 --- -6.84 311 A Pittsburgh 5-17 -12 -8 0.00 314 H Colgate 10-11 -1 -1 0.24 320 A Lehigh 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.23 325 H Loyola (MD) 5-16 -11 -7 0.00 328 A Boston University 3-16 -13 -4 - -2.38 404 A Army 5-20 -15 -10 0.00 411 H Holy Cross 14- 7 7 -2 +++ 9.72 415 H Bucknell 11-12 -1 -2 1.47 418 A Lafayette 12-10 2 0 + 2.68 422 A Navy 5-18 -13 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H George Mason 12-16 -4 3 --- -7.36 307 H UMBC 5-15 -10 0 --- -6.84 218 A George Washington 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.84 328 A Boston University 3-16 -13 -4 - -2.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Holy Cross 14- 7 7 -2 +++ 9.72 320 A Lehigh 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.23 418 A Lafayette 12-10 2 0 + 2.68
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 84.31 Power Rank................. 87 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 72.22 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 59 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5726 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 74 RPI Rating............... .4394 RPI Rank................... 95 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 17 Selection sum ........... 277 Selection Rank ............ 95 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -265. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 109 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -255. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 108 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0